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The New Jersey Unemployment Insurance Reemployment Demonstration Project: Follow-up report (Anderson et al. 1991)

Review Guidelines

Absence of conflict of interest: This study was conducted by staff from Mathematica Policy Research, which administers CLEAR. Therefore, the review of this study was conducted by an independent consultant trained in applying the CLEAR causal evidence guidelines.

Citation

Anderson, P., Corson, W., & Decker, P. (1991). The New Jersey Unemployment Insurance Reemployment Demonstration Project: Follow-up report. Unemployment Insurance Occasional Paper 91-1. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration.

Highlights

  • The study’s objective was to examine the impact of the New Jersey Unemployment Insurance Reemployment Demonstration Project on the unemployment insurance (UI) receipt, employment, and earnings of UI claimants in New Jersey three to four years after program enrollment.
  • In this demonstration, about 11,000 UI claimants were randomized into one of three treatment groups, all of which received some variation of Job Search Assistance (JSA) services, or into the control group, which could receive only existing services in the community. For all participants, the study team collected administrative data, which provided information on UI receipt, employment, and earnings.
  • The study found that, over the claim year and three follow-up years, the JSA-plus-reemployment-bonus group had statistically significant differences from the control group on UI dollars received ($293 fewer than control) and UI weeks paid (1.6 fewer weeks than control). The study found few statistically significant impacts on the probability of working, earnings, or weeks worked for any of the treatment groups compared with the control group.
  • The quality of causal evidence presented in this report is high because it based on a well-implemented randomized controlled trial. This means we are confident that the estimated effects are attributable to the interventions studied, and not to other factors.

Intervention Examined

JSA services

Features of the Intervention

Implemented in 10 randomly selected UI offices across New Jersey, the demonstration mandated participation in JSA services for displaced workers who were recently unemployed to foster their quick reemployment. The demonstration had three service offerings: (1) JSA-only; (2) JSA plus training or relocation services; and (3) JSA plus a reemployment bonus. All three interventions shared the same JSA components: an orientation session and testing; five half-day job-search workshop sessions at local New Jersey UI offices; a one-on-one counseling and assessment session with office staff; and a requirement to maintain contact with the demonstration office, either by discussing job-search activities with office staff or using the office’s resource center to conduct job-search activities.

The JSA-only group received no services other than JSA services. In the JSA-plus-training group, staff informed participants about training and relocation services available and helped participants plan their training options. In the JSA-plus-reemployment-bonus group, participants who became reemployed quickly received a bonus equal to one-half of the person’s remaining UI entitlement at the time of the assessment if he or she found employment within two weeks; and the bonus declined in value by 10 percent of the original amount per week. Participants received 60 percent of the bonus if they held the job for four weeks, and received all of it if they were employed for 12 weeks. Bonuses were not available to claimants who were rehired by their former employers; were employed by a relative; or were in temporary, seasonal, or part-time work.

Eligibility screening for the demonstration excluded claimants who (1) had not received their first UI payment, had their first payment more than five weeks after their initial claim, had a partial first payment, or a special type of claim (such as a claim by an ex-service member); (2) were younger than 25 years old; (3) had been on their previous job for fewer than three years; (4) had specific dates for being recalled by their former employers; and (5) were typically hired through union hiring halls.

Features of the Study

All those eligible for the demonstration were randomly assigned to the JSA-only group (2,416 participants), JSA-plus-training group (3,810 participants), JSA-plus-reemployment-bonus group (2,449 participants), or the control group (2,385 participants). Administrative UI data were collected from initial intake into the study (sometime from July 1986 to June 1987) through June 1990. Data on employment and earnings came from quarterly wage records through the first quarter of 1990.

To measure impacts on UI receipt, employment, and earnings, the authors compared the outcomes of members of each of the three treatment groups with those of the control group.

Findings

Public benefits receipt

  • The study found that, cumulatively over the claim year and three follow-up years, the JSA-plus-reemployment-bonus group had statistically significant differences from the control group on UI dollars received ($293 fewer than control) and UI weeks paid (1.6 fewer weeks than control); these differences were driven by the impacts in the early years of the demonstration.
  • The study found no statistically significant impacts on the probability of UI receipt over the initial claim year or three follow-up years.

Earnings and wages

  • Of the approximately 90 employment and earnings outcomes examined over the follow-up period for each of the treatment groups, 4 were statistically significant.

Employment

  • Of the approximately 90 employment and earnings outcomes examined over the follow-up period for each of the treatment groups, 4 were statistically significant.

Considerations for Interpreting the Findings

The authors estimated multiple related impacts in the UI benefit receipt, employment, and earnings domains. Doing so increased the probability of identifying statistically significant differences by chance. Therefore, the number of statistically significant findings in these domains was probably overstated.

Only 15 percent of the JSA-plus-training group participated in training. In addition, the authors noted that not all sample members completed follow-up data. Finally, the labor market, UI program, and reemployment services have changed considerably since this study was conducted. Therefore, a similar study conducted in the current environment might find different results.

Causal Evidence Rating

The quality of causal evidence presented in this report is high because it is based on a well-implemented randomized controlled trial. This means we are confident that the estimated effects are attributable to the interventions studied, and not to other factors.

Reviewed by CLEAR

November 2014

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